Impact of Type 2 Diabetes and Glycated Hemoglobin Levels Within the Recommended Target Range on Mortality in Older Adults With Cognitive Impairment Receiving Care at a Memory Clinic: NCGG-STORIES.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of type 2 diabetes and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels within the recommended target range according to the Japan Diabetes Society/Japan Geriatrics Society Joint Committee on mortality in older adults with cognitive impairment. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 1,528 and 468 patients aged ≥65 years without and with type 2 diabetes, respectively, who were visiting a memory clinic. The 468 patients with type 2 diabetes were divided into three groups (within, above, and below the target range) based on their HbA1c levels, cognitive function, ability to perform activities of daily living, and medications associated with a high risk of hypoglycemia. The impact of diabetes and HbA1c levels on mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 3.8 years, 353 patients (17.7%) died. Compared with individuals without type 2 diabetes, HbA1c levels above (hazard ratio [HR] 1.70, 95% CI 1.08-2.69) and below (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.33-3.48) the target range were associated with a higher risk of death; however, HbA1c levels within the target range were not (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.77-1.36). CONCLUSIONS: HbA1c levels above and below the target range were associated with a higher risk of mortality, whereas patients with HbA1c levels within the target range did not exhibit a higher risk of mortality than individuals without type 2 diabetes. These results provide empirical support for the current target ranges among older adults with cognitive impairment.

Living in public rental housing is healthier than private rental housing a 9-year cohort study from Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study.

Housing tenure is an important aspect to determine health. However, even though renters tend to have more socioeconomic disadvantages than homeowners, mortality risk between private and public renters compared with homeowners remains unclear. Japanese public rented housing, such as the Urban Renaissance Agency, has been developed for supplying an adequate living environment since 1950s. This study aimed to examine the mortality risk among older Japanese residents living in private and public rented houses compared with those living in owner-occupied houses using 9-year follow-up data. This study drew upon a 9-year follow-up of participants in the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, a population-based cohort study of Japanese independent adults aged ≥ 65 years. Mortality from 2010 to 2019 was analyzed for 44,007 respondents. Housing tenure was defined by a questionnaire. Cox regression models were used for calculating the hazard ratio for mortality. Bonferroni correction was used to account for multiple testing between rental houses. Overall, 10,638 deaths occurred during the follow-up period. Compared with housing owners, all rental housing groups had a significantly higher risk of mortality. Among renters, participants who lived in public rental housing had the lowest risk of mortality even after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, health status, social status, and environmental status. Multiple testing among renters with Bonferroni correction showed that public renters had 0.80 times (95% CI 0.72-0.89) lower mortality risk than private renters. Although Japanese older adults living in public rental housing had a higher mortality risk than homeowners, this risk was lower than that among private renters. A positive neighborhood environment based on well-planned urban development may have contributed to this result. The results suggest that planned urban development lowers the risk of mortality in older renters in Japan.

Behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia and mortality risk among people with cognitive impairment: an 8-year longitudinal study from the NCGG-STORIES.

BACKGROUND: Behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia (BPSD) are common among people with dementia from the early stages and can appear even in mild cognitive impairment (MCI). However, the prognostic impact of BPSD is unclear. This study examined the association between BPSD and mortality among people with cognitive impairment. METHODS: This longitudinal study involved 1,065 males and 1,681 females (mean age: males = 77.1 years; females = 78.6 years) with MCI or dementia diagnosis, from the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology-Life Stories of People with Dementia (NCGG-STORIES), a single-center memory clinic-based cohort study in Japan that registered first-time outpatients from 2010-2018. Information about death was collected through a mail survey returned by participants or their close relatives, with an up to 8-year follow-up. BPSD was assessed using the Dementia Behavior Disturbance Scale (DBD) at baseline. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 229 (28.1%) male and 254 (15.1%) female deaths occurred. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that higher DBD scores were significantly associated with increased mortality risk among males, but not females (compared with the lowest quartile score group, hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals] for the highest quartile score group = 1.59 [1.11-2.29] for males and 1.06 [0.66-1.70] for females). Among the DBD items, lack of interest in daily living, excessive daytime sleep, and refusal to receive care had a higher mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest a potential association between BPSD and poor prognosis among males with cognitive impairment.

Development of a short form of the Japanese version of the Caregiver Reaction Assessment (CRA-J-10) among informal caregivers of older adults.

AIM: To support informal caregivers, a simple assessment tool capturing the multidimensional nature of caregiving experiences, including negative and positive aspects, is required. We developed a short form of the Japanese version of the Caregiver Reaction Assessment (CRA-J), a multidimensional assessment scale for caregiver experiences. METHODS: The internet survey involved 934 Japanese informal caregivers aged 20-79 years (mean age = 58.8 years; 50.2% women) who completed questionnaires, including the CRA-J 18 items (CRA-J-18), consisting of five domains, such as impacts on schedule and finances and positive experiences of caregiving. A 10-item short version of the CRA-J (CRA-J-10; 0-50 points), which was prepared by selecting the two items with the highest factor loadings from each domain, was tested for model fit by confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) and was analyzed for correlations with the CRA-J-18, Zarit Burden Interview (ZBI), Positive Aspects of Caregiving Scale (PACS), Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9), and WHO-Five Well-Being Index (WHO-5). The area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic was evaluated as discriminability for depressive symptoms (PHQ-9 ≥ 10 points). RESULTS: The CFA indicated a good model fit in the CRA-J-10. The CRA-J-10 correlated well with the CRA-J-18 and other variables (CRA-J-18, r = 0.970; ZBI, r = 0.747; PACS, r = -0.467; PHQ-9, r = 0.582; WHO-5, r = -0.588) and showed good discriminant performance for the presence of depressive symptoms (AUC = 0.793, 95% confidence interval = 0.762-0.823). CONCLUSIONS: The CRA-J-10 allows a simple assessment of caregiver experiences, helping support informal caregivers. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 290-296.

Dyadic Art Appreciation and Self-Expression Program (NCGG-ART) for People with Dementia or Mild Cognitive Impairment and Their Family Caregivers: A Feasibility Study.

BACKGROUND: Non-pharmacological interventions effective for depressive mood and bilateral relationships among persons with cognitive impairment (PwCI) and their family caregivers (FCGs) have not been established. OBJECTIVE: To examine the feasibility of a newly developed group-based art appreciation and self-expression program (NCGG-ART) for dyads of PwCI and their FCGs. METHODS: This pilot randomized control trial included 34 dyads of PwCI diagnosed with mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease or mild cognitive impairment, and their FCGs, from an outpatient rehabilitation service (Holistic Physio-Cognitive Rehabilitation [HPCR]). Participants were randomly divided equally into the HPCR (control group) or NCGG-ART and HPCR (intervention group) groups. Both included 1-hour weekly, 6-week programs. The primary outcome was depressive symptoms among FCGs assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9). Feasibility outcomes included participant satisfaction and motivation. FCGs were interviewed about their experiences and feelings regarding the program, which were analyzed using content analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-two dyads (intervention group:16; control group:16) completed the study period. High participation rates, satisfaction, and motivation were demonstrated throughout the intervention. Scores in the PHQ-9 among FCGs did not show positive effects: mean changes in the score were 1.3 for the intervention group and -0.8 for the control group (Cohen d:0.56). However, the qualitative analysis revealed favorable experiences and feelings of the FCGs, such as positive emotions, social interactions, and person-centered attitudes to and positive relationships with PwCI. CONCLUSIONS: This program demonstrated high feasibility with FCGs' favorable responses to emotions and relationships with PwCI, ensuring future investigations with a confirmatory study design.

Relationship between mortality and vitality in patients with mild cognitive impairment/dementia: An 8-year retrospective study.

AIM: The study aimed to investigate the association of vitality, as measured using the vitality index (Vix), with the survival outcomes of older adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia. METHODS: We analyzed data from 3731 patients in the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology - Life Stories of Individuals with Dementia cohort from July 2010 to September 2018. The main focus was to correlate Vix scores with the time from the initial visit to death. Vix was categorized into "moderately to severely impaired" (0-7 points), "mildly impaired" (8-9 points), and "normal" (10 points) groups. Survival outcomes were assessed using a Cox proportional hazards model, adjusted for various factors. We conducted a mediation analysis to evaluate the effect of body mass index (BMI), instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), and basic activities of daily living (BADL) on the association between vitality and mortality. Stratified analysis was also conducted for the Mini-Mental State Examination groups. RESULTS: We included 2740 patients with an average follow-up of 1315 days. The mortality rate was 15.7%. The Vix distribution was 16% at 0-7 points; 40%, 8-9 points; and 44%, 10 points. Patients in the "moderately to severely impaired" category, characterized by lower Vix scores, exhibited notably higher mortality rates. Mediation effects emphasized the significant roles of BMI, IADL, and BADL in influencing survival outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Vitality significantly influences patient survival rates. The association between vitality and mortality seems to be mediated by IADL and BADL, which has significant clinical implications. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 221-228.

Decision-making involvement and onset of cognitive impairment in community-dwelling older care recipients: a 2-year longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: The decision-making of older adults and people with dementia is attracting more attention among healthcare professionals. While cognitive impairment has been examined as a factor related to decision-making, it can also be assumed that involvement in decision-making leads to the maintenance of cognitive function. This study examined the association of the decision-making process with the onset of cognitive impairment. METHODS: We analyzed data from a 2-year longitudinal panel survey of community-dwelling care recipients aged ≥65 years in Japan. The sample included 406 participants who responded to both baseline and follow-up surveys, were cognitively intact at baseline, and had no missing cognitive impairment data regarding onset at follow-up. The status of decision-making involvement was assessed using a single item and classified into four categories: 'very involved,' 'less involved,' 'unclear about desired care,' and 'having no one to share the decision.' RESULTS: Among the participants (women, 65.0%; ≥75 years old: 68.2%), the incidence of cognitive impairment during the follow-up was 26.6%. Multivariable logistic regression showed that, compared with highly involved participants, those who lacked clarity about desired care were more likely to develop an onset of cognitive impairment (odds ratio: 5.49; 95% confidence interval: 1.63-18.54; P = 0.006). CONCLUSION: Even among cognitively intact care recipients, those who are not able to formulate their desired care may be at risk of cognitive decline. Therefore, support for the decision-making process, not limited to the final decision, is essential to improving the prognosis of community-dwelling care recipients.

Developing a predictive model for mortality in patients with cognitive impairment.

OBJECTIVES: We developed a predictive model for all-cause mortality and examined the risk factors for cause-specific mortality among people with cognitive impairment in a Japanese memory clinic-based cohort (2010-2018). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included people aged ≥65 years with mild cognitive impairment or dementia. The survival status was assessed based on the response of participants or their close relatives via a postal survey. Potential predictors including demographic and lifestyle-related factors, functional status, and behavioral and psychological status were assessed at the first visit at the memory clinic. A backward stepwise Cox regression model was used to select predictors, and a predictive model was developed using a regression coefficient-based scoring approach. The discrimination and calibration were assessed via Harrell's C-statistic and a calibration plot, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 2610 patients aged ≥65 years (men, 38.3%) were analyzed. Over a mean follow-up of 4.1 years, 544 patients (20.8%) died. Nine predictors were selected from the sociodemographic and clinical variables: age, sex, body mass index, gait performance, physical activity, and ability for instrumental activities of daily living, cognitive function, and self-reported comorbidities (pulmonary disease and diabetes). The model showed good discrimination and calibration for 1-5-year mortality (Harrell's C-statistic, 0.739-0.779). Some predictors were specifically associated with cause-specific mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This predictive model has good discriminative ability for 1- to 5-year mortality and can be easily implemented for people with mild cognitive impairment and all stages of dementia referred to a memory clinic.

Moderating effect of country-level health determinants on the association between hobby engagement and mental health: cross-cohort multi-level models, meta-analyses, and meta-regressions.

BACKGROUND: Theories from anthropology, evolutionary psychology, and sociology have focused on the potential adaptive benefits of hobby engagement for mental health in older adults. However, previous studies have used data from single countries, potentially biased by specific measurement and methodological approaches, cohort effects, or cultural specificities. Whether there are genuine benefits for mental health in older adults cross-culturally remains unknown. This study explored the consistency of this association across 16 different nations. METHODS: For this epidemiological study, we used data from adults aged 65 years or older across 16 countries in the USA, Europe, and Asia, represented in five longitudinal studies (ELSA, JAGES, HRS, SHARE and CHARLS; N=93 263, 45-62% female, mean age 72-76 years, data collected 2008-20). We harmonised measures of self-reported engagement in hobbies and past-times, depressive symptoms (validated scales), and Likert scale responses for self-reported health, happiness, and life satisfaction. We conducted fixed-effects models and longitudinal regression models of hobbies and mental health for each country and then pooled in multinational meta-analyses. We accounted for all time-constant factors including those unobserved (eg, genetics, past leisure behaviour, medical history, psychological traits) and identified time-varying factors (eg, sociodemographic background, clinical conditions, daily functioning). We tested the potential moderating effects of country-level determinants of health in meta-regressions and multilevel models. FINDINGS: Meta-analytic fixed-effects findings showed that having a hobby was associated with fewer depressive symptoms (pooled coefficient -0·10, 95% CI -0·13 to -0·07, I2=69·5%, H2=3·28), and higher levels of self-reported health (0·06, 0·03 to 0·08, I2=48·1%, H2=1·93), happiness (0·09, 0·06 to 0·13, I2=67·0%, H2=3·03), and life satisfaction (0·10, 0·08 to 0·12, I2=33·6%, H2=1·51). Results were consistent in meta-analyses of longitudinal regression models testing directionality of findings. Macro-level factors such as life expectancy, world happiness index, country wealth, and income inequality predicted prevalence of hobby engagement, but they showed only marginal moderating effects on the association between hobbies and mental health. INTERPRETATION: Despite some heterogeneity in measurement between the cohorts, the apparent universality of the health benefits of hobbies internationally suggests that facilitating greater opportunities for engagement across demographic groups and between countries could be an important part of multidisciplinary care. Findings have implications for social prescribing schemes (currently in trial in many countries) and multidisciplinary work on origins and human behavioural patterns of hobby engagement. FUNDING: National Endowment for the Arts, Wellcome Trust, Belgian Nnational Scientific Fund (FNRS).

Role of Interacting and Learning Experiences on Public Stigma Against Dementia: An Observational Cross-Sectional Study.

Background: Overcoming dementia stigma is a global challenge. Contact and education on dementia may be promising approaches for reducing public stigma; however, the current evidence is insufficient. This study examined the moderating factors associated with the public stigma against dementia, focusing on experiences of interacting with and learning about people with dementia. Methods: This cross-sectional study recruited 710 adults aged 20-69 years who were not involved in any medical or care work. Participants were recruited via a web-based questionnaire survey for a large internet survey agency's panel in Japan. In terms of the public stigma about dementia, four domains were assessed using a multidimensional assessment scale: personal avoidance, fear of labelling, person-centredness, and fear of discrimination. We compared the stigma scores according to the participants' experiences of interacting with people with dementia ('none', 'talking or activities together', or 'living together') and learning about dementia ('yes' or 'no'), adjusted for demographic and socioeconomic factors.Results: Compared with those without interaction experiences, those with experiences of talking or activities with people with dementia had lower personal avoidance (p = .001), fear of labelling (p = .026), and fear of discrimination (p = .031); those with experiences of living together with people with dementia had lower personal avoidance (p = .014) and fear of discrimination (p = .031). Compared with those without learning experiences related to dementia, those with such experiences had lower personal avoidance (p < .001) and higher person-centredness (p = .048).Conclusions: The findings suggest that the promotion of interaction with and learning about people with dementia may be important for addressing the public stigma.

Association of social isolation and loneliness with chronic low back pain among older adults: A cross-sectional study from Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES).

BACKGROUND: Per the biopsychosocial model, pain, especially chronic low back pain, which often presents with nonspecific pain, requires a comprehensive approach involving social factors. However, the association of social factors, including social isolation and loneliness, with this condition remains unclear. This study examined the cross-sectional association of social isolation and loneliness with chronic low back pain among older adults. METHODS: We recruited functionally independent older adults through a mail survey in 2019 from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES). Chronic low back pain was defined as low back pain lasting more than three months. Social isolation was identified based on face-to-face and non-face-to-face interactions ("not isolated," "isolated tendency," and "isolated"). Loneliness was assessed using the UCLA Loneliness Scale ("not lonely," "lonely tendency," and "lonely"). RESULTS: Consequently, 21,463 participants were analyzed (mean age: 74.4 years; 51.5% females); 12.6% reported chronic low back pain. Multivariable Poisson regression analysis revealed that loneliness was significantly associated with the likelihood of chronic low back pain; compared with "not lonely", the prevalence ratio (PR) was 1.14 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-1.25) for "lonely tendency" and 1.40 (1.27-1.54) for "lonely." Social isolation was not associated; compared with "not isolated," the PR (95% CI) was 0.96 (0.88-1.05) for "isolated tendency" and 0.99 (0.89-1.10) for "isolated." A positive multiplicative interaction between social isolation and loneliness for chronic low back pain was found. CONCLUSIONS: Lonelier individuals were more likely to experience chronic low back pain, and those with loneliness and social isolation were synergistically more likely for this condition.

Hobby engagement and mental wellbeing among people aged 65 years and older in 16 countries.

Growing aging populations pose a threat to global health because of the social and psychological challenges they experience. To mitigate this, many countries promote hobby engagement to support and improve mental health. Yet, it remains unclear whether there is consistency in benefits across different national settings. We harmonized measures of hobby engagement and multiple aspects of mental wellbeing across 16 nations represented in five longitudinal studies (N = 93,263). Prevalence of hobby engagement varied substantially across countries, from 51.0% of Spanish respondents to 96.0% of Danish respondents. Fixed effects models and multinational meta-analyses were applied to compare the longitudinal associations between hobbies and mental wellbeing. Independent of confounders, having a hobby was associated with fewer depressive symptoms (pooled coefficient = -0.10; 95% confidence intervals (CI) = -0.13, -0.07), and higher levels of self-reported health (pooled coefficient = 0.06; 95% CI = 0.03, 0.08), happiness (pooled coefficient = 0.09; 95% CI = 0.06, 0.13) and life satisfaction (pooled coefficient = 0.10; 95% CI = 0.08, 0.12). Further analyses suggested a temporal relationship. The strength of these associations, and prevalence of hobby engagement, were correlated with macrolevel factors such as life expectancy and national happiness levels but overall, little variance in findings was explained by country-level factors (<9%). Given the relative universality of findings, ensuring equality in hobby engagement within and between countries should be a priority for promoting healthy aging.

Social isolation, loneliness, and their correlates in older Japanese adults.

BACKGROUND: Loneliness and social isolation are elevated in older adults and associated with a range of detrimental outcomes. Despite this, there has been little research on these phenomena or on similarities and differences in their occurrence or combination in older Japanese adults. The current study aims to (i) determine what factors are associated with social isolation and loneliness among older adults in Japan; and (ii) describe the characteristics of individuals who are socially isolated but not lonely, as well as those who feel lonely but are not socially isolated. METHODS: Data were analysed from 13 766 adults aged ≥65 years who participated in the 2019 wave of the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study. Poisson regression analysis was used to examine associations. RESULTS: Among older Japanese adults, the attributes of higher age, male gender, lower socioeconomic status, being a welfare recipient, and having depressive symptoms were associated with social isolation, while lower socioeconomic status, unemployment, welfare receipt, and poor physical and mental health were associated with loneliness. In addition, better educated, and mentally and physically healthy people were less likely to feel lonely even when socially isolated, while people who were not working and who had mental or physical health problems were more likely to feel lonely even if they were not socially isolated. DISCUSSION: Our results indicate that in order to reduce unwanted social isolation and loneliness among older Japanese adults, in the first instance the focus should be on those individuals who are socioeconomically disadvantaged and unhealthy.

Mortality Risks and Causes of Death by Dementia Types in a Japanese Cohort with Dementia: NCGG-STORIES.

BACKGROUND: Prognosis-related information regarding dementia needs to be updated, as changes in medical and long-term care environments for patients with dementia in recent decades may be improving the prognosis of the disease. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate the mortality, cause of death, and prognostic factors by types of dementia in a Japanese clinic-based cohort. METHODS: The National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology-Life Stories of People with Dementia consists of clinical records and prognostic data of patients who visited the Memory Clinic in Japan. Patients who attended the clinic between July 2010 and September 2018, or their close relatives, were asked about death information via a postal survey. A cohort of 3,229 patients (mean age, 76.9; female, 1,953) was classified into six groups: normal cognition (NC), mild cognitive impairment (MCI), Alzheimer's disease (AD), vascular dementia, dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB), and frontotemporal lobar degeneration. A Cox proportional hazards model was employed to compare the mortality of each type of dementia, MCI, and NC. RESULTS: Patients with all types of dementia and MCI had higher mortality rates than those with NC (hazard risks: 2.61-5.20). The most common cause of death was pneumonia, followed by cancer. In the MCI, AD, and DLB groups, older age, male sex, and low cognitive function were common prognostic factors but not presence of apolipoprotein E ɛ4 allele. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest important differences in the mortality risk and cause of death among patients with dementia, which will be useful in advanced care planning and policymaking.

An approach to psychosocial health among middle-aged and older people by remote sharing of photos and videos from family members not living together: A feasibility study.

Background: As an approach to the psychosocial health of people in later adulthood, information and communication technology (ICT) is attracting attention. However, because there is still a disparity issue in ICT use, particularly for older people, considering age-friendly digital interventions is important. We examined the feasibility of an intervention by an age-friendly digital service, remote sharing of photos/videos from families not living together, for psychosocial health in middle-aged and older people. Methods: This single-arm study recruited Japanese adults aged ≥ 50 years from web-pages of the social service, Mago-Channel (Chikaku Inc., Japan). Participants used this service for 3 months to receive photos/videos from the smartphones of their families not living together on a device set up on their home TVs and watched them there. Families not living together were encouraged to send photos/videos at least once a week, but no other restrictions on their lives, including their interactions, were imposed. After 3 months, the level of user satisfaction and changes in psychosocial health were assessed. Results: Finally, 115 participants were included, and 106 completed the intervention; the dropout rate from the intervention was low (7.8%), and satisfaction with the program was high, indicating high feasibility. While depressive symptoms and loneliness did not change markedly, satisfaction with the relationship of families living together increased significantly, and social interactions improved, including those with families not living together. Conclusions: High feasibility of this age-friendly digital intervention and its potential benefits on social relationships were shown, encouraging further trials with a confirmatory study design.

Functional disability trajectories at the end of life among Japanese older adults: findings from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES).

BACKGROUND: this study aimed to identify distinct subgroups of trajectories of disability over time before 3 years of death and examine the factors associated with trajectory group membership probabilities among community-dwelling Japanese older adults aged 65 years and above. METHODS: participants included 4,875 decedents from among community-dwelling Japanese older adults, aged ≥ 65 years at baseline (men: 3,020; women: 1,855). The certified long-term care levels of the national long-term care insurance (LTCI) system were used as an index of functional disability. We combined data from the 2010 Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study and data from the 2010 to 2016 LTCI system. Group-based mixture models and multinominal logistic regression models were used for data analysis. RESULTS: five distinct trajectories of functional disability in the last 3 years of life were identified: 'persistently severe disability' (10.3%), 'persistently mild disability' (13.0%), 'accelerated disability' (12.6%), 'catastrophic disability' (18.8%) and 'minimum disability' (45.2%). Multinominal logistic regression analysis found several factors associated with trajectory membership; self-rated health was a common predictor regardless of age and gender. The analysis also showed a paradoxical association; higher education was associated with trajectory group membership probabilities of more severe functional decline in men over 85 years at death. CONCLUSIONS: individual perception of health was a strong predictor of trajectories, independent of demographic factors and socio-economic status. Our findings contribute to the development of policies for the long-term care system, particularly for end-of-life care, in Asian countries.

Pneumonia and subsequent risk of dementia: Evidence from the Japan Gerontological evaluation study.

BACKGROUND: Recently, several studies reported that pneumonia might increase the risk of cognitive decline and dementia due to increased frailty. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to examine the association between a history of pneumonia and subsequent dementia risk. METHODS: Participants were 9952 aged 65 years or older Japanese men and women from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study prospective cohort study, followed up from 2013 to 2019. Dementia was identified by public long-term care insurance registration. A history of pneumonia contracted 1 year before the baseline questionnaire in 2013. A cox regression model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dementia risk, adjusted for potential confounding variables. We conducted competing risk analyses using a cause-specific hazard model. RESULTS: During the follow-up period of 6 years, 939 persons developed dementia. There was no association between having a prior history of pneumonia with dementia risk (HR 1.20, 95% CI:0.81-1.78). However, we observed an increased risk of dementia in persons with pre-frailty and frailty; the multivariable HR (95% CI) was 1.75 (1.48-2.07) and 2.42 (2.00-2.93) for pre-frailty and frailty, respectively. When pneumonia and frailty were combined, the risk of dementia was the highest for the persons with a history of pneumonia and frailty; the multivariable HR (95% CI) was 2.30 (1.47-3.62). The multivariable HR (95% CI) for those without pneumonia with frailty was 1.95 (1.66-2.28). Meanwhile, the multivariable HR (95% CI) for those with pneumonia without frailty was 1.64 (0.68-3.99). CONCLUSION: Our findings imply that a prior history of pre-frailty and frailty with or without pneumonia, but not a history of pneumonia per se, was associated with an increased risk of dementia among population-based-cohort of older Japanese people.